PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

IntuitionBro

0xd87316b8e0fea9e99db686ae3f1dc24d8f932255

Realised P&L
$-545.06
Volume
$100.1k
Markets traded
161
Open portfolio
$46.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded161
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.0900.095$30.40+$1.60
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1600.075$12.75$14.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? · Yes0.0600.071$2.86+$0.46
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0420.003$0.07$1.03
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.057$0.06$0.44
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.013$0.01$0.49
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.005$0.01$0.49
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.003$0.00$0.50
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.003$0.00$0.50
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.002$0.00$0.50
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.001$0.00$0.50
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.001$0.00$0.50
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.001$0.00$0.50
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.001$0.00$0.50
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.001$0.00$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-26 01:19Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.14$25.88
03-26 00:54Iran coup attempt by June 30?SELL0.22$47.62
03-20 15:09Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.2299999977$66.60
03-18 12:54Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.2$16.03
03-18 12:54US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.31$16.03
03-17 14:45Iran coup attempt by June 30?SELL0.21$29.14
03-17 14:02Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.25$24.25
03-17 14:02Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.031$6.06
03-17 14:02Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.09$16.15
03-17 14:02Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL0.14$49.21
03-15 23:17US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.2899999956$30.00
03-14 21:54US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?BUY0.35$24.85
03-14 21:54US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?SELL0.04$4.88
03-14 16:01US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?SELL0.05$6.10
03-13 23:53US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?SELL0.08$21.15