IntuitionBro
0xd87316b8e0fea9e99db686ae3f1dc24d8f932255
- Realised P&L
- $-545.06
- Volume
- $100.1k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $46.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$278.20at 0.098Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?
- +$73.50at 0.510US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
- +$60.83at 0.018US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$42.75at 0.690Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$41.71at 0.150US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 01:19 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $25.88 |
| 03-26 00:54 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $47.62 |
| 03-20 15:09 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2299999977 | $66.60 |
| 03-18 12:54 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $16.03 |
| 03-18 12:54 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $16.03 |
| 03-17 14:45 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | SELL | 0.21 | $29.14 |
| 03-17 14:02 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $24.25 |
| 03-17 14:02 | Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.031 | $6.06 |
| 03-17 14:02 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $16.15 |
| 03-17 14:02 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $49.21 |
| 03-15 23:17 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2899999956 | $30.00 |
| 03-14 21:54 | US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $24.85 |
| 03-14 21:54 | US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.88 |
| 03-14 16:01 | US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15? | SELL | 0.05 | $6.10 |
| 03-13 23:53 | US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15? | SELL | 0.08 | $21.15 |