PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MetricCipher

0xd871accb62dc87ee234fb5135e5140d3ffc3a133

Realised P&L
$332.98
Volume
$224.7k
Markets traded
5,556
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,556
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.841$1.0k+$408.60
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.160$191.40$408.60
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on September 17? · No0.9901.000$40.34+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17? · No0.9921.000$40.27+$0.31
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 18? · No0.9900.990$39.96+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 18? · No0.9960.993$19.91$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 18? · No0.9900.980$19.78$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 17? · No0.9901.000$15.12+$0.14
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 18? · No0.9800.990$15.12+$0.15
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 18? · No0.9900.986$14.91$0.07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0940.105$2.11+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 11? · No0.9900.000$0.00$29.73
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 14? · No0.9930.000$0.00$19.98
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 19? · No0.9890.000$0.00$29.97
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on May 6? · No0.9910.000$0.00$19.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:27Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 18?BUY0.996$19.98
09-17 22:42Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.9899999599$19.98
09-17 22:35Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.98$14.97
09-17 22:34Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.99$19.98
09-17 22:17Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.99$19.98
09-17 20:43Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.9899999432$14.98
09-17 13:40Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on September 17?BUY0.9899999432$14.98
09-17 11:53Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.99$14.98
09-17 09:21Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on September 17?BUY0.99$19.98
09-17 05:38Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17?BUY0.9929999999$19.98
09-17 03:56Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on September 17?BUY0.992$14.98
09-17 01:02Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on September 17?BUY0.99$19.98
09-17 00:51Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 17?BUY0.996$14.98
09-17 00:12Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 17?BUY0.9908012681$19.98
09-16 23:09Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.99$14.98