Kulan1000
0xd870a8b1b3c14abed3c2d732977d02bbe5c335b2
- Realised P&L
- $-63.44
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $117.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.110 | $117.20 | −$22.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.71at 0.876Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-70.53at 0.165Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:07 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.1311159335 | $139.70 |
| 09-16 18:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $143.53 |
| 09-16 17:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8699999995 | $125.00 |
| 09-15 10:45 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.11 | $130.84 |
| 09-13 21:44 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.16 | $190.32 |