0xD864bfD303B33E7C500e5A37f6210BD4C82578c7-1778529160122
0xd864bfd303b33e7c500e5a37f6210bd4c82578c7
- Realised P&L
- $-12.54
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $31.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.64at 0.154Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
- +$5.22at 0.164Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
- +$4.96at 0.171Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.26at 0.190US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
- +$3.74at 0.215Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 19:25 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:25 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:25 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:25 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:24 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:23 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 20:24 | Exact Score: Greece 0 - 0 Germany? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 18:00 | Exact Score: Greece 1 - 2 Germany? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 18:00 | Exact Score: Greece 1 - 3 Germany? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 18:00 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:58 | Spread: Germany (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:17 | Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:24 | Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:24 | Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |