PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD864bfD303B33E7C500e5A37f6210BD4C82578c7-1778529160122

0xd864bfd303b33e7c500e5a37f6210bd4c82578c7

Realised P&L
$-12.54
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$31.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 19:25Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-07 19:25Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-07 19:25Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-07 19:25Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-07 19:24Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-07 19:23Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.25$1.00
10-04 20:24Exact Score: Greece 0 - 0 Germany?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-04 18:00Exact Score: Greece 1 - 2 Germany?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-04 18:00Exact Score: Greece 1 - 3 Germany?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-04 18:00Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-04 17:58Spread: Germany (-1.5)BUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-03 16:17Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-02 13:15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-30 09:24Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.25$1.00
09-30 09:24Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.3399999388$1.00