PolyBot

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Traders

kemis-562

0xd83fefcd6c93692c1e5bfa237d499070799003b1

Realised P&L
$-942.17
Volume
$36.4k
Markets traded
305
Open portfolio
$96.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded305
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · No0.8390.626$31.32$10.63
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.375$18.75$5.75
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7700.340$10.54$13.33
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? · No0.6700.475$9.50$3.90
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? · No0.4700.390$7.80$1.60
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes0.2400.135$6.75$5.25
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.1260.081$4.05$2.25
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.5800.120$2.01$7.71
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? · No0.1600.084$1.68$1.52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · No0.7400.465$1.07$0.64
Will Rodri be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · Yes0.0900.019$0.95$3.55
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.3200.046$0.93$5.47
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? · Yes0.3490.011$0.53$16.93
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? · Yes0.5400.011$0.32$14.79
Lecornu out as French PM by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1400.006$0.13$2.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 12:37Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?SELL0.7584$37.92
08-06 12:35Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.84$42.00
08-05 21:46Iran full airspace closure by August 15?SELL0.07$1.40
08-05 13:46Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?SELL0.26$5.20
08-05 09:15Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?SELL0.13$6.39
08-03 11:43Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?SELL0.08$0.24
08-01 00:55Will Trump say "Ass" in August?SELL0.1726$8.63
08-01 00:54Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.4$20.00
08-01 00:54Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%?SELL0.28$14.00
08-01 00:54Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?SELL0.702666$35.13
07-31 07:45Will Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?SELL0.059$1.28
07-31 07:32Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.56$28.00
07-31 07:32Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?SELL0.42$21.00
07-31 07:31Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?SELL0.75$37.50
07-31 07:29Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?SELL0.64$32.00