kemis-562
0xd83fefcd6c93692c1e5bfa237d499070799003b1
- Realised P&L
- $-880.22
- Volume
- $36.6k
- Markets traded
- 366
- Open portfolio
- $402.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded366
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.00at 0.370Bruins vs. Oilers
- +$49.50at 0.500Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?
- +$28.50at 0.430Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$6.50at 0.470Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$6.17at 0.959Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 04:00 | Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.18 |
| 11-02 02:35 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 11-02 01:35 | Will Jynxzi win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? | SELL | 0.822 | $4.66 |
| 11-02 01:28 | Will Republicans win the Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 11-01 23:08 | Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.00 |
| 11-01 21:14 | Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.21 | $6.64 |
| 11-01 20:01 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.53 | $0.50 |
| 11-01 19:37 | Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | SELL | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 11-01 19:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 11-01 19:06 | Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $10.30 |
| 11-01 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.32 | $5.44 |
| 08-06 12:37 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.7584 | $37.92 |
| 08-06 12:35 | Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 08-05 21:46 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-05 13:46 | Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |