kemis-562
0xd83fefcd6c93692c1e5bfa237d499070799003b1
- Realised P&L
- $-942.17
- Volume
- $36.4k
- Markets traded
- 305
- Open portfolio
- $96.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded305
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.00at 0.370Bruins vs. Oilers
- +$49.50at 0.500Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?
- +$28.50at 0.430Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$6.50at 0.470Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$6.17at 0.959Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 12:37 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.7584 | $37.92 |
| 08-06 12:35 | Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 08-05 21:46 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-05 13:46 | Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-05 09:15 | Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.39 |
| 08-03 11:43 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.24 |
| 08-01 00:55 | Will Trump say "Ass" in August? | SELL | 0.1726 | $8.63 |
| 08-01 00:54 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 00:54 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%? | SELL | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 08-01 00:54 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.702666 | $35.13 |
| 07-31 07:45 | Will Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? | SELL | 0.059 | $1.28 |
| 07-31 07:32 | Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 07-31 07:32 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 07-31 07:31 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | SELL | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 07-31 07:29 | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $32.00 |