PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd83e3e3c60ef7ac5e05a7a9ee136e422b2e3bf34

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$7.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? · Yes0.2110.061$2.00−$4.84
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1100.036$1.66−$3.34
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Something0.0900.029$1.64−$3.36
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2500.045$0.90−$4.10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1190.019$0.82−$4.18
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.035$0.22−$0.78
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.032$0.17−$0.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-19 21:42Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.16$1.00
03-19 21:40Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
03-19 04:44Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.3753901806$5.00
03-18 13:28Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0289999724$1.00
03-16 10:12Netanyahu out by June 30?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
03-14 17:08NATO article 5 before 2027?SELL0.13$4.33
03-14 00:50Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.0103383459$1.00
03-13 23:55Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?SELL0.0266214911$3.80
03-13 23:55Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?SELL0.0262160138$3.64
03-13 23:51Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY0.3399999649$3.49
03-13 23:51Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY0.3367269808$5.00
03-12 18:20Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0928134372$10.00
03-12 17:30NATO article 5 before 2027?BUY0.149999976$5.00
03-12 17:26Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?BUY0.0349999935$5.00
03-12 17:26Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?BUY0.0359999933$5.00