0xd81E2A15d6aDB051273b594e3AB6C90e5DD40fE5-1782813470898
0xd81e2a15d6adb051273b594e3ab6c90e5dd40fe5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.24
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $69.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.40at 0.200FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: O/U 1.5
- +$6.37at 0.090Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.56at 0.220Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
- +$5.18at 0.280Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
- +$5.11at 0.270Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 19:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 19:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 07-30 19:00 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.94 |
| 07-29 20:50 | Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.447 | $2.10 |
| 07-27 09:26 | Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | SELL | 0.054 | $0.19 |
| 07-25 14:39 | Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.63 |
| 07-25 09:52 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | SELL | 0.25 | $0.58 |
| 07-25 09:34 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 08:34 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.01 |
| 07-24 05:38 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 07-22 10:39 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.068 | $0.34 |
| 07-20 21:47 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.45 |
| 07-20 21:43 | Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive? | SELL | 0.079 | $0.32 |
| 07-20 21:42 | Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.191 | $0.37 |
| 07-14 21:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |