Pistachio15
0xd814e0d3e86b3feeb86a061fcb3c5587827e342a
- Realised P&L
- $183.33
- Volume
- $117.8k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $326.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.07at 0.361Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$34.05at 0.075Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$33.99at 0.500US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$32.07at 0.009Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.91at 0.069Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:40 | Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.78 | $80.34 |
| 09-11 10:17 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $51.00 |
| 06-11 10:46 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.012 | $46.93 |
| 05-13 15:58 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.35 |
| 05-13 15:57 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.038 | $3.81 |
| 05-11 11:04 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0759999976 | $31.15 |
| 05-11 10:57 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999986 | $33.16 |
| 02-23 14:05 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.051 | $30.37 |
| 02-19 13:27 | Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.054 | $1.75 |
| 02-19 09:21 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.085 | $0.57 |
| 02-17 09:33 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.063 | $15.96 |
| 02-01 12:18 | Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.14 | $11.98 |
| 01-27 09:15 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.07 | $11.65 |
| 01-22 14:01 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.43 |
| 01-22 14:01 | Will Justin Bieber perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.52 |