PolyBot

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Traders

blurmaggie888

0xd7e4ed4efafd4e09b35d44e06258a716e7b17137

Realised P&L
$-331.36
Volume
$55.1k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$52.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.025$8.91$6.09
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0740.017$5.27$17.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0470.020$4.91$6.74
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0930.049$4.18$3.82
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1040.045$3.92$5.08
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0720.011$3.51$19.49
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0750.018$3.03$9.97
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2330.134$2.87$2.13
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0840.035$2.86$4.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.013$2.81$5.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0740.017$2.30$7.70
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.019$2.17$7.83
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.038$1.54$3.26
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0940.029$1.52$3.48
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.055$0.65$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 01:47Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.12$17.10
07-13 01:38Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0225379187$20.66
07-06 07:33Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
07-06 07:32Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$2.00
06-04 07:51Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
06-04 07:51Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0387953738$13.00
05-15 01:59Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0509999842$3.00
05-15 01:58Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999816$6.00
05-15 01:58Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0529999838$3.00
05-15 01:57MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.744$10.37
05-15 01:56MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.744$10.37
05-15 01:44AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.2323802641$3.00
05-15 01:43Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999736$3.00
05-15 01:43Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
05-15 01:42Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0529999513$1.00