sgx1
0xd7e473bcb8b8784af25d70b196b2b828a3871312
- Realised P&L
- $1.91
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $282.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.47at 0.840Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
- +$16.80at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$15.53at 0.708Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?
- +$15.34at 0.180Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?
- +$13.07at 0.488Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 19:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | SELL | 0.4 | $4.20 |
| 10-19 15:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.82 |
| 10-19 14:35 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9195131405 | $111.26 |
| 10-17 16:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 11:17 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.82 |
| 10-16 10:56 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 10-14 00:09 | Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | SELL | 0.92 | $281.93 |
| 10-12 21:07 | Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | BUY | 0.7914443401 | $108.00 |
| 10-12 17:16 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 14:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $15.48 |
| 10-12 14:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 12:51 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.56 | $21.84 |
| 10-11 19:50 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.120370369 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 19:50 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1881188074 | $5.00 |