DuneTrader79
0xd7d6b87c67e6d6bc78879e45e1542c023d524336
- Realised P&L
- $-726.95
- Volume
- $102.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,175
- Open portfolio
- $34.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,175
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.020 | $23.82 | −$46.18 |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.013 | $4.65 | −$0.71 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.770 | 0.545 | $3.54 | −$1.46 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.470 | 0.280 | $2.98 | −$2.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.62at 0.306Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$121.40at 0.210Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$28.81at 0.482Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5
- +$26.45at 0.570Brazil vs. France: O/U 2.5
- +$24.82at 0.468Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 14:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2418482328 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 11:51 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.042999996 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 08:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 08:45 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0969999917 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 08:42 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.64 |
| 07-06 08:42 | Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.01 |
| 07-06 08:41 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.72 |
| 07-06 08:41 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.41 |
| 07-06 08:41 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.13 |
| 07-06 08:41 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $1.07 |
| 07-06 08:41 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.69 |
| 07-06 08:41 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $5.47 |
| 07-06 08:40 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999989 | $50.00 |
| 06-22 08:18 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $5.59 |
| 06-22 08:18 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $8.80 |