0xd7c529720ff464c48b0c7dae46539ac86fd1670b
0xd7c529720ff464c48b0c7dae46539ac86fd1670b
- Realised P&L
- $-8.88
- Volume
- $142.23
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $1.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.670 | 0.670 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.405 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.055 | $0.33 | −$1.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.308Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
- +$1.31at 0.639Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?
- +$1.29at 0.640US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:35 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:59 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:59 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 16:02 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 2? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:16 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:10 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:59 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 00:16 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 16:13 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:39 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:49 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:27 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |