0xd7B07Cf14d37C621d82f08020ADb9aCBc1B89D22-1764179552791
0xd7b07cf14d37c621d82f08020adb9acbc1b89d22
- Realised P&L
- $-66.83
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $6.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.34at 0.290Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?
- +$11.06at 0.475U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
- +$9.29at 0.350US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
- +$8.11at 0.270US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$7.54at 0.570Will the US strike Somalia next?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 15:21 | Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026? | BUY | 0.0318936877 | $3.00 |
| 05-31 23:50 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.0539999731 | $2.00 |
| 05-31 23:50 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 23:50 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 05-31 23:50 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 05-23 20:04 | LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.4299999656 | $4.00 |
| 04-13 15:09 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 04-13 15:09 | LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $2.88 |
| 04-07 22:36 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.18 |
| 04-07 20:35 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.1099999871 | $7.00 |
| 03-08 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $0.97 |
| 03-08 22:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3890047692 | $0.97 |
| 03-08 22:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $0.97 |
| 03-01 00:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.33999983 | $0.97 |
| 02-28 23:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $0.98 |