teddi
0xd7a6b6bde3240cfee2aa888b425f01447103bfc7
- Realised P&L
- $363.44
- Volume
- $47.3k
- Markets traded
- 718
- Open portfolio
- $673.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded718
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$184.25at 0.462US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$110.96at 0.749Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$85.70at 0.661Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$82.43at 0.650US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$65.81at 0.401Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 19:57 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999894 | $11.00 |
| 06-20 17:31 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.7550919019 | $100.00 |
| 05-26 07:14 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |
| 05-24 09:35 | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.01 | $3.07 |
| 05-20 12:07 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $34.00 |
| 05-20 12:05 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $34.62 |
| 05-20 12:00 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.6099999996 | $29.00 |
| 05-02 17:09 | Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? | SELL | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 03-27 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $8.57 |
| 03-27 12:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.26 |
| 03-27 12:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | SELL | 0.27 | $1.87 |
| 03-27 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999375 | $3.68 |
| 03-27 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999428 | $3.20 |
| 03-27 11:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.489999951 | $4.46 |
| 03-27 10:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $5.52 |