PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

teddi

0xd7a6b6bde3240cfee2aa888b425f01447103bfc7

Realised P&L
$363.44
Volume
$47.3k
Markets traded
718
Open portfolio
$673.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded718
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6840.865$396.08+$82.61
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · No0.7550.905$119.85+$19.85
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1310.038$32.30−$78.70
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.019$30.85+$27.69
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4000.305$30.50−$9.50
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027? · Yes0.2020.110$21.55−$18.03
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.7301.000$15.07+$4.07
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No0.6420.115$13.26−$60.72
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.4050.120$6.03−$14.32
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.215$5.37−$1.12
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0030.003$2.30−$0.46
Kurds declare independence from Iran? · Yes0.2260.000$0.00−$30.50
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$3.10
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$8.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 19:57Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7299999894$11.00
06-20 17:31Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.7550919019$100.00
05-26 07:14Iran closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.3099999401$3.00
05-24 09:35Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.01$3.07
05-20 12:07Iran closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.6099999961$34.00
05-20 12:05Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?SELL0.33$34.62
05-20 12:00Iran closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.6099999996$29.00
05-02 17:09Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?SELL0.67$6.70
03-27 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSELL0.99$8.57
03-27 12:19Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETBUY0.5$4.26
03-27 12:11Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSELL0.27$1.87
03-27 12:09Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.5399999375$3.68
03-27 11:54Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.5099999428$3.20
03-27 11:40Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.489999951$4.46
03-27 10:36Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETSELL0.81$5.52