PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

t00000000

0xd786a8b89db608e0ed4f2414a94704fc3d9659b8

Realised P&L
$-98.2k
Volume
$3.26M
Markets traded
4,163
Open portfolio
$6.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,163
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9570.962$2.2k+$12.38
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5100.135$840.33−$2.3k
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6810.760$800.28+$82.71
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8900.905$744.82+$12.35
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1400.293$356.88+$185.88
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? · Yes0.2930.320$320.64+$27.34
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? · Yes0.4920.545$257.80+$24.90
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7650.805$233.55+$11.67
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat? · No0.5100.545$158.05+$10.15
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? · No0.2250.325$133.25+$41.16
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? · Yes0.5500.625$129.38+$15.53
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? · No0.5820.615$102.10+$5.46
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? · Yes0.2540.275$91.85+$7.15
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0930.037$68.89−$104.19
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? · Yes0.2700.240$48.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:18Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?BUY0.1$9.07
09-16 18:17AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5BUY0.004$2.00
09-16 18:15Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.0061316456$1.94
09-16 18:15Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5BUY0.309314542$28.97
09-16 18:14Sevilla FC to score first vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña?BUY0.0047714286$3.34
09-16 18:11AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 0.5BUY0.81$277.02
09-16 18:08AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5BUY0.05$24.95
09-16 18:05BNB Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ETBUY0.2$6.21
09-16 18:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ETBUY0.64$57.60
09-16 18:00Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17?BUY0.5$149.50
09-16 18:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ETBUY0.95$380.01
09-16 17:59BNB Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ETBUY0.99$54.45
09-16 17:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1PM ETBUY0.941650135$94.17
09-16 17:53Map Handicap: NEMI (-2.5) vs Team Nemesis (+2.5)BUY0.42$6.19
09-16 17:53Map Handicap: NEMI (-2.5) vs Team Nemesis (+2.5)BUY0.4$24.11