TopNotch
0xd765820c88e8c0933b97a5a80c1481542ddc4b8c
- Realised P&L
- $-984.69
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $273.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.00at 0.080Will Solana dip to $100 in January?
- +$60.26at 0.230Will Solana dip to $110 in January?
- +$15.85at 0.820Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
- +$14.94at 0.770Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$11.34at 0.256Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 06:25 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1539755675 | $50.00 |
| 06-18 06:23 | Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 06:22 | Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 06:22 | Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 06:21 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.022713206 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 06:21 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0278909347 | $30.00 |
| 05-04 01:15 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 01:03 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0051150895 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 01:03 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0101694917 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 01:03 | Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0104831902 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 01:00 | Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 01:00 | Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 00:58 | Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 00:57 | Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0158615687 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 00:57 | Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0483075028 | $5.00 |