PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fantastic55

0xd75af87133fc14de68cd83a9e8c5d999fa49fdec

Realised P&L
$524.54
Volume
$419.4k
Markets traded
237
Open portfolio
$7.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded237
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7480.835$4.7k+$484.68
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.7751.000$902.92+$202.41
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? · No0.7530.965$602.66+$132.19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3250.125$440.54$703.63
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0710.055$243.43$73.17
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.6370.880$220.35+$60.82
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.8500.875$195.88+$5.60
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1160.080$173.98$80.74
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.6750.910$111.50+$28.83
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3970.140$96.35$177.04
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? · Yes0.3200.135$36.43$49.88
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3000.125$27.77$38.88
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? · Yes0.4120.035$5.24$55.56
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? · Yes0.2800.041$3.32$19.62
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.1740.001$0.12$41.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:52US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?SELL0.03$5.46
09-15 21:26Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.0767157911$50.60
09-15 20:49Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.05$23.39
09-15 19:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$66.67
09-15 18:45Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.06$21.70
09-15 18:36Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.07$7.60
09-15 18:36Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.07$7.00
09-15 18:36Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.07$7.21
09-15 18:29Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.13$2.40
09-15 18:28Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.13$8.52
09-15 18:28Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.13$1.50
09-15 18:27Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.14$0.11
09-15 18:26Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.13$7.71
09-15 18:25Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.13$0.52
09-15 18:23Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.1326681913$34.81