PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd758F1e4E3783022ed8EaD026213E8cdA264Df71-1767878417382

0xd758f1e4e3783022ed8ead026213e8cda264df71

Realised P&L
$-157.28
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$29.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration91.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5480.230$8.40$11.60
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · Yes0.0900.042$6.92$8.08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.055$6.11$13.89
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1500.041$4.05$10.95
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.041$3.74$8.26
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2060.000$0.00$20.00
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No0.1900.000$0.00$50.00
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$20.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$15.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$20.00
Ackman vs. S&P - January · S&P0.2240.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$18.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 20:28US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.5478087388$20.00
03-04 21:30Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.1609999939$20.00
02-28 16:38Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
02-18 22:43US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2099999922$20.00
02-18 22:42Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?SELL0.1135278588$20.64
01-25 22:41US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2056806975$20.00
01-23 20:11Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?SELL0.75$19.16
01-16 20:42Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.51$18.41
01-16 20:39Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?SELL0.6$17.65
01-14 21:58US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.2299999893$15.00
01-14 20:58Pelosi vs. S&P - JanuarySELL0.171432843$14.33
01-11 12:39Pelosi vs. S&P - JanuaryBUY0.239190425$20.00
01-11 12:38Ackman vs. S&P - JanuaryBUY0.2243902372$20.00
01-09 23:19Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?BUY0.0585631164$20.00
01-09 23:11Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?SELL0.4320746888$62.48