0xd74261e35bce38097d4691f4378a843baa805110
0xd74261e35bce38097d4691f4378a843baa805110
- Realised P&L
- $7.59
- Volume
- $224.98
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $5.03
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.855 | $1.43 | +$0.42 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.645 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.710 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.525 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.150 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.57at 0.227Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.86at 0.258Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.31at 0.288Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$3.12at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$2.60at 0.339Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:35 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 03:54 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 19:46 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 11:43 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:34 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:25 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:01 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 1? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 20:49 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.25 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:08 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:07 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:25 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:34 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 15:34 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |