0xd73bd224219cf379bd591c6ada187cac2d8abcb7
0xd73bd224219cf379bd591c6ada187cac2d8abcb7
- Realised P&L
- $6.93
- Volume
- $280.24
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $4.05
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.870 | $1.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.750 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.495 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.530 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.87at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.80at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$4.80at 0.329Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$3.38at 0.410Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.98at 0.440Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:07 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:48 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:24 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:16 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:23 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 11:46 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 03:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.8489999609 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 11:30 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 03:27 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:18 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $680 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:35 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |