0xd72ae0d29d56e7812fa64776037dae94ab217473
0xd72ae0d29d56e7812fa64776037dae94ab217473
- Realised P&L
- $-3.39
- Volume
- $142.88
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $4.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.940 | $2.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.220 | 0.260 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 21? · No | 0.700 | 0.500 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.055 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.015 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.27at 0.440US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.25at 0.450SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 19:01 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 18:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:33 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 11:02 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:18 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 15:02 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:39 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 21? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 18:22 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:10 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:06 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:29 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 05:28 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 08:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:47 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |