Str3sU
0xd71a00e4cd4c7caeedaad16b1b16eae72cbd78c9
- Realised P&L
- $-11.4k
- Volume
- $908.3k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.987Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$1.7kat 0.915Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$773.83at 0.871Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$526.21at 0.199Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
- +$379.37at 0.795Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:47 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $7.92 |
| 08-26 17:12 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999975 | $223.04 |
| 08-26 17:11 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.973 | $226.89 |
| 08-25 18:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7059997359 | $240.58 |
| 08-15 23:54 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.714 | $183.40 |
| 08-13 20:23 | Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.9199999993 | $56.00 |
| 08-13 19:08 | Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-13 19:07 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.978 | $76.26 |
| 08-12 21:08 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $272.70 |
| 08-11 23:26 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.407 | $91.63 |
| 08-11 23:25 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.592 | $187.89 |
| 08-07 00:26 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5759999991 | $182.81 |
| 08-07 00:26 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.424 | $190.92 |
| 08-03 11:07 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0919999986 | $54.81 |
| 08-03 11:07 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.908 | $57.93 |