0xd7082fdedf8ef554625c16f3c65e2a8995f01077
0xd7082fdedf8ef554625c16f3c65e2a8995f01077
- Realised P&L
- $-0.01
- Volume
- $464.59
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $1.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.255 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.175 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.61at 0.210Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$6.52at 0.260US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.64at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$4.25at 0.350US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.84at 0.379Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:32 | Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 23:32 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 00:28 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.6909995239 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 04:01 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.7889999101 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 19:58 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 22:30 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 14:08 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:03 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:03 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:13 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 02:13 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:56 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:22 | SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 16:03 | Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:52 | Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |