PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd6d141f9cf5b5e1a57fde98ff0015b89cf09e8aa

0xd6d141f9cf5b5e1a57fde98ff0015b89cf09e8aa

Realised P&L
$-11.46
Volume
$145.92
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$3.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.2400.390$1.63+$0.63
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.7800.997$1.28+$0.28
Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? · Yes0.2800.275$0.98−$0.02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.2700.002$0.01−$1.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 10:26Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-26 13:27Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-26 05:26Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-25 21:09Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.78$1.00
09-25 12:55SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-24 14:47Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-07 11:52Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-16 20:37Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-12 10:06Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-08 11:39Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.32$2.00
08-08 03:18Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.76$2.00
08-06 07:10US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
08-05 23:09Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-05 15:08Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.459999885$2.00
08-05 07:08S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.77$2.00