obsobs
0xd6c75ff79f8b27d7763f8f6c37d036909d985f67
- Realised P&L
- $-129.63
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $72.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.81at 0.410Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
- +$40.00at 0.300Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$38.48at 0.285Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$17.70at 0.229Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
- +$17.59at 0.367Knicks vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 12:37 | Paris curfew by October 31? | BUY | 0.1711840218 | $20.00 |
| 10-14 06:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 06:31 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.1179999996 | $20.00 |
| 10-05 05:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.8237756233 | $59.48 |
| 08-24 08:19 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.1402196561 | $20.00 |
| 08-24 08:19 | Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.5524503273 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 14:22 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $28.62 |
| 08-11 10:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 08-11 10:17 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $32.64 |
| 08-11 10:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $27.76 |
| 08-07 08:06 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.4594599829 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 18:08 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.17 |
| 07-22 15:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 15:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7649999994 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 17:27 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4089999884 | $10.00 |