PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

obsobs

0xd6c75ff79f8b27d7763f8f6c37d036909d985f67

Realised P&L
$-129.63
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$72.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1840.155$33.74−$6.26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? · Yes0.1180.086$14.58−$5.42
Paris curfew by October 31? · Yes0.1710.085$9.93−$10.07
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes0.4500.290$6.44−$3.56
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.030$4.49−$20.51
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.2400.043$3.54−$16.46
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$20.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? · No0.6100.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.4090.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5770.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4130.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 12:37Paris curfew by October 31?BUY0.1711840218$20.00
10-14 06:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
10-14 06:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?BUY0.1179999996$20.00
10-05 05:57Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.8237756233$59.48
08-24 08:19Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.1402196561$20.00
08-24 08:19Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.5524503273$20.00
08-18 14:22Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.63$28.62
08-11 10:18Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5699999926$20.00
08-11 10:17US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?SELL0.75$32.64
08-11 10:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.93$27.76
08-07 08:06US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?BUY0.4594599829$20.00
07-29 18:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$39.17
07-22 15:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?BUY0.6099999927$20.00
07-22 15:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7649999994$30.00
07-19 17:27Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4089999884$10.00