PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

violettakafourides

0xd6bf7c842cf97b30831b9f16dfc361ab4e71c7ac

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$155.9k
Markets traded
493
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded493
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.817$1.2k+$474.75
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? · No0.9170.969$689.58+$36.88
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.183$275.25−$474.75
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.5300.992$69.44+$32.34
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94? · No0.1100.123$4.92+$0.52
Will Alexis Tsipras be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · Yes0.0530.073$2.92+$0.79
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? · Yes0.4930.060$2.09−$15.07
Will Afroditi Latinopoulou be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · Yes0.0090.022$1.98+$1.20
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.060$0.48−$0.64
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.0070.001$0.44−$5.74
Will Yanis Varoufakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · Yes0.0030.022$0.06+$0.05
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? · No0.9020.000$0.00−$45.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Up0.3390.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 18:36Besiktas vs. Olympiacos B.C.BUY0.14$1.40
10-28 18:35Besiktas vs. Olympiacos B.C.BUY0.21$10.50
10-25 20:46Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?BUY0.12$2.40
10-25 20:17Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.6199999907$20.00
10-24 19:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-24 19:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.25$1.00
10-24 19:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-24 19:05Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.3230163838$5.00
10-24 19:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-24 19:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETSELL0.21$1.31
10-24 19:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.16$1.00
10-24 19:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETSELL0.73$6.03
10-24 19:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-24 19:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-24 19:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.3699999593$1.00