PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Kostik13

0xd69a27d60f8065b82bc8cfd4dd4cc6b7516a5b92

Realised P&L
$-42.80
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$433.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5600.635$254.00+$30.00
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4120.230$91.99$72.99
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.6760.705$49.29+$1.98
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.2930.105$24.76$44.43
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? · Yes0.5900.135$13.50$45.50
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? · No0.6470.000$0.00$6.47
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No0.0800.000$0.00$9.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$14.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-03 09:33Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.677$6.77
06-03 09:15Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.676$20.96
06-03 09:11Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.56$56.00
06-03 09:10Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.56$112.00
06-03 09:09Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.56$56.00
01-07 07:30Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.038$0.57
01-06 22:13Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.026$2.60
01-06 22:09Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.42$19.12
01-05 16:12Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.31$4.40
01-05 08:01Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.3$60.00
01-02 19:41Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.41$20.50
12-29 17:26Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? SELL0.36$13.50
12-24 19:43Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?BUY0.92$92.00
12-24 17:45Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.08$8.00
12-24 17:38Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.08$8.00