PolyBot

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Traders

Pahalde

0xd678911aadc5d3b9db0ee1feb1d476e3f9c3f49b

Realised P&L
$-14.47
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$4.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21? · Yes0.3500.515$1.47+$0.47
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22? · Yes0.3100.375$1.21+$0.21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1900.195$1.03+$0.03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.1700.135$0.79−$0.21
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$2.00
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? · No0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4160.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 13? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No0.0190.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:06Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-20 10:06Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?SELL0.25$0.56
10-20 09:00Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-19 14:42Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-19 14:41Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 19?SELL0.47$1.80
10-18 17:46Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 19?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-16 05:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-15 19:22Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.27$0.71
10-15 19:22Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?SELL0.002$0.24
10-15 19:21Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?SELL0.002$0.12
10-15 19:21Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?SELL0.01$0.09
10-15 19:21Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.003$0.08
10-15 19:21Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$0.05
10-12 08:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
08-14 17:03Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.011$0.27