Pahalde
0xd678911aadc5d3b9db0ee1feb1d476e3f9c3f49b
- Realised P&L
- $-14.47
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $4.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.76at 0.773Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 11?
- +$3.96at 0.208Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$3.69at 0.614Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 12?
- +$2.60at 0.507Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 15?
- +$2.34at 0.463Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 10:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.56 |
| 10-20 09:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 14:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 14:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 19? | SELL | 0.47 | $1.80 |
| 10-18 17:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 05:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:22 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.71 |
| 10-15 19:22 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.24 |
| 10-15 19:21 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 10-15 19:21 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.09 |
| 10-15 19:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.08 |
| 10-15 19:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.05 |
| 10-12 08:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 17:03 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.27 |