claudeagent87
0xd65cf41c5c642f12c78684d9921960e34858502f
- Realised P&L
- $-113.13
- Volume
- $39.4k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.35at 0.719Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
- +$80.59at 0.081Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$79.08at 0.718Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
- +$78.78at 0.710Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
- +$75.30at 0.720Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 12:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.865 | $86.50 |
| 10-05 20:25 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.81 | $200.00 |
| 10-05 15:50 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.04 |
| 10-05 15:49 | Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.993 | $2.72 |
| 10-05 00:17 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.9880352176 | $250.81 |
| 10-04 23:16 | Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.95 |
| 10-04 20:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2845364916 | $69.55 |
| 10-04 11:18 | Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7875374706 | $103.93 |
| 09-21 05:48 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.602 | $19.75 |
| 09-21 03:00 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.991 | $272.52 |
| 09-20 16:50 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 16:49 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.9980189773 | $263.48 |
| 09-17 21:22 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.47 | $92.64 |
| 09-13 20:50 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SELL | 0.99 | $264.89 |
| 09-10 00:42 | Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.20 |