PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x201

0xd63ec079c973be435c69ec66c878978a0e9271df

Realised P&L
$15.3k
Volume
$118.3k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8540.966$1.2k+$133.60
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? · No0.8520.962$769.17+$87.30
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9570.968$483.75+$5.25
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? · No0.8430.925$481.00+$42.40
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · No0.9350.930$443.61$2.57
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · No0.7560.930$436.84+$81.55
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto · Nothing0.9160.973$282.66+$16.47
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · No0.7600.880$88.00+$12.00
DAI depeg by December 31? · No0.9200.949$73.51+$2.21
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit? · No0.7000.685$68.50$1.50
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7200.170$3.40$11.00
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5000.042$0.84$9.16
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$2.50
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? · No0.2200.000$0.00$66.00
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? · Yes0.1760.000$0.00$26.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:07Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?BUY0.7$28.00
09-03 12:37Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?BUY0.9$90.00
09-03 12:35Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?BUY0.94$232.47
11-12 22:36Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?BUY0.998$175.95
11-10 20:21Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.18$15.12
11-10 20:19Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.18$37.98
11-10 19:46Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.15$30.00
11-10 02:30Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?BUY0.27$27.00
11-03 17:25Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?BUY0.992$481.12
11-03 17:24Will IcedKnife win the Synthetix trading competition?BUY0.9569826464$441.17
10-22 14:11Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.94$89.68
10-18 02:09Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?BUY0.193$1.27
10-18 01:42Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.946$189.20
10-14 23:01Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?BUY0.78$210.60
06-25 02:21Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.93$232.50