PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

exploitmenot

0xd63d58be49765b186bd241d4973dc04494d45f12

Realised P&L
$-145.94
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
1,984
Open portfolio
$24.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,984
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0890.017$5.58−$24.42
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1190.040$4.30−$8.70
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1190.024$3.96−$16.04
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2230.033$3.70−$21.30
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.054$1.56−$2.44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2900.085$1.47−$3.53
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0800.032$1.33−$2.04
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1400.035$0.74−$2.26
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.090$0.64−$1.36
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.7000.135$0.58−$2.42
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.3900.029$0.29−$3.71
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6800.031$0.05−$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 19:26Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.08$3.00
09-20 19:24Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.913$2.72
09-18 22:38UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.7399999671$4.50
09-18 18:08Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.46$4.89
09-18 15:09Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.08$3.37
09-18 13:16Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7699999992$200.00
08-31 16:42Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999727$4.00
08-15 15:05Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0764160154$5.00
08-15 15:04Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
04-17 11:54Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey RublevBUY0.7299999562$2.46
04-17 11:29Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina SvitolinaBUY0.7899999747$2.47
04-17 11:12Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?BUY0.7799999813$2.50
04-17 11:12BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco CerundoloBUY0.8199999541$2.47
04-17 11:04Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?BUY0.739999929$2.46
04-17 11:04Oeiras 3: Rebecca Sramkova vs Petra MarcinkoBUY0.7699999877$2.47