0xD636C869E219240ACABD144a95412A2723eA230b-1778647561984
0xd636c869e219240acabd144a95412a2723ea230b
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $57.3k
- Markets traded
- 319
- Open portfolio
- $415.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded319
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$971.49at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$314.67at 0.329Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$302.44at 0.540Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?
- +$229.93at 0.529Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?
- +$178.28at 0.502Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 19:31 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8189999973 | $80.00 |
| 10-26 19:31 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.768 | $30.00 |
| 10-20 16:18 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $50.00 |
| 10-19 18:57 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $50.00 |
| 10-19 18:18 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 17:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7689999982 | $200.00 |
| 10-19 17:51 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 17:03 | Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 17:03 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 17:01 | France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999979 | $30.00 |
| 10-17 18:27 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.962 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 17:51 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.9199999997 | $110.00 |
| 10-17 17:31 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 10-17 17:30 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 17:30 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |