PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xD636C869E219240ACABD144a95412A2723eA230b-1778647561984

0xd636c869e219240acabd144a95412a2723ea230b

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$42.6k
Markets traded
240
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded240
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? · Yes0.5181.000$488.46+$235.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? · Yes0.9351.000$320.62+$20.62
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8900.903$314.37+$4.37
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · Yes0.6920.575$133.02$26.98
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.4920.395$112.41$27.59
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? · Yes0.6900.650$94.20$5.80
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No0.7980.744$93.17$6.83
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1100.095$86.36$13.64
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2940.213$72.62$27.38
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1300.085$65.38$34.61
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.7730.934$60.41+$10.41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? · Yes0.2240.230$51.32+$1.32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? · Yes0.3970.325$40.95$9.05
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0180.014$39.67$10.33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? · Yes0.5400.465$25.83$4.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETBUY0.2199999727$5.00
08-02 19:07Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
08-02 19:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.1899999373$2.00
08-02 18:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.1099999521$2.00
08-02 18:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.2$2.00
08-02 18:11Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.2599999646$5.00
08-02 18:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.1299999467$2.00
08-02 18:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.1799999755$5.00
08-02 18:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.0899999599$2.00
08-02 18:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.14999994$2.00
08-02 18:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.1899999373$2.00
08-02 18:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.25$5.00
08-02 18:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.289999964$5.00
08-02 17:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.9699999995$20.00
08-02 17:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.619999969$2.00