PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xD636C869E219240ACABD144a95412A2723eA230b-1778647561984

0xd636c869e219240acabd144a95412a2723ea230b

Realised P&L
$714.94
Volume
$52.5k
Markets traded
302
Open portfolio
$907.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded302
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8970.907$506.57+$5.58
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2940.204$69.39$30.61
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.7730.961$62.13+$12.13
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.4310.130$48.08$111.52
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1100.045$40.91$59.09
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1300.045$34.62$65.38
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5610.573$30.64+$0.64
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0180.009$24.08$25.91
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes0.5000.574$22.95+$2.95
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0520.041$15.58$4.42
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1470.182$12.41+$2.41
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1400.165$11.75+$1.75
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0620.016$10.39$29.61
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · No0.7980.075$9.40$90.60
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1920.160$8.31$1.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:25Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5609999982$30.00
09-13 13:10Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)BUY0.7699999992$210.00
08-11 05:51Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?SELL0.3043333333$9.13
08-10 12:09Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSELL0.98$49.00
08-10 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.84$42.00
08-10 07:20Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?SELL0.03$2.81
08-10 07:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?BUY0.95$190.00
08-10 06:51Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10?BUY0.45$4.50
08-10 06:51Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10?SELL0.02$3.40
08-10 06:49Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10?BUY0.5097451265$100.00
08-10 06:49Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?BUY0.5339814737$100.00
08-10 06:49Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?SELL0.4871666667$29.23
08-09 17:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETSELL0.87$8.70
08-09 17:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.19367$1.94
08-09 16:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETBUY0.12$1.20