0xD636C869E219240ACABD144a95412A2723eA230b-1778647561984
0xd636c869e219240acabd144a95412a2723ea230b
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $42.6k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$976.47at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$318.75at 0.320Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$307.34at 0.532Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?
- +$129.89at 0.435France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$105.17at 0.363Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:07 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.619999969 | $2.00 |