0xD636C869E219240ACABD144a95412A2723eA230b-1778647561984
0xd636c869e219240acabd144a95412a2723ea230b
- Realised P&L
- $714.94
- Volume
- $52.5k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $907.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$971.49at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$314.67at 0.329Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$302.44at 0.540Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?
- +$229.93at 0.529Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?
- +$178.28at 0.502Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:25 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5609999982 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 13:10 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $210.00 |
| 08-11 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11? | SELL | 0.3043333333 | $9.13 |
| 08-10 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 08-10 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 08-10 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.81 |
| 08-10 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 08-10 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 08-10 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.02 | $3.40 |
| 08-10 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.5097451265 | $100.00 |
| 08-10 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.5339814737 | $100.00 |
| 08-10 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10? | SELL | 0.4871666667 | $29.23 |
| 08-09 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 08-09 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.19367 | $1.94 |
| 08-09 16:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |