PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

1922

0xd604ab303e351a9c829606aa7184b9bfd375cb5f

Realised P&L
$141.4k
Volume
$19.31M
Markets traded
2,575
Open portfolio
$180.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,575
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$116.9k+$41.9k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$33.1k$41.9k
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8630.875$25.4k+$344.77
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8700.915$4.6k+$225.00
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1000.145$639.45+$198.45
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3100.575$115.00+$53.00
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1850.185$73.63$0.01
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0970.009$51.48$533.91
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2900.041$9.73$59.93
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0150.004$7.00$23.00
Will Denmark win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$567.92
Will Slovan Liberec win Czechia Fortuna Liga? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$185.11
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 5.5 Corners · Under0.5100.000$0.00$509.99
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? · No0.3800.000$0.00$75.99
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$3.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 19:36FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.35$175.00
08-31 19:35Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: Team to AdvanceBUY0.35$175.00
08-31 19:09FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Team to AdvanceBUY0.82$719.09
08-31 19:08FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Team to AdvanceBUY0.84$840.00
07-19 22:03Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.019$0.25
07-17 19:08Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-07-25?BUY0.78$7.80
07-17 10:12Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.912972873$14.81
07-17 10:11Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.99$832.11
07-15 20:28Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8753998282$4.4k
07-15 20:26Will Argentina finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8$147.20
07-14 21:05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.571$4.0k
07-14 15:45France vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerSELL0.52$1.51
07-12 03:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.798$3.7k
07-12 00:20Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$50.0k
07-12 00:17Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$9.9k