zhengxm1101
0xd5ef4a8cbb823390f0aeb3abebce94b88cb98b8e
- Realised P&L
- $-73.25
- Volume
- $67.3k
- Markets traded
- 4,931
- Open portfolio
- $5.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,931
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.75at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
- +$7.75at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
- +$7.75at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$7.75at 0.349Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
- +$7.58at 0.352Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-30 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-24 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.70 |
| 08-26 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 08-22 03:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 22? | SELL | 0.992 | $5.95 |
| 08-16 09:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | SELL | 0.16 | $0.96 |
| 08-16 09:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $1.08 |
| 08-16 08:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 08-15 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $1.68 |
| 08-15 18:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $2.88 |
| 08-15 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.1364833333 | $0.82 |
| 08-15 18:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 08-15 11:25 | Dogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.31 | $1.86 |
| 08-08 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $2.70 |
| 08-08 14:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $1.56 |