PolyBot

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Traders

leqso0410

0xd5c92cf77cc924ef9ab464bdb286da35c300586a

Realised P&L
$-5.1k
Volume
$219.2k
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$31.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · No0.9100.935$8.2k+$219.79
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.945$8.0k$42.10
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.9230.925$7.4k+$14.28
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.9580.967$5.0k+$46.98
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes0.8100.805$1.5k$9.40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9400.935$994.68$5.32
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.125$416.67$83.33
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28? · No0.1730.000$0.00$2.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.6900.000$0.00$6.90
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 2, 2026? · No0.2850.000$0.00$88.60
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2490.000$0.00$5.8k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.7200.000$0.00$72.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$745.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.5290.000$0.00$1.5k
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00$359.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 13:53Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.9299999997$2.4k
09-01 13:52Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.9399999992$1000.00
09-01 13:48Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?BUY0.9099999998$1000.00
09-01 13:47Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?BUY0.9099999999$1000.00
09-01 13:44Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9499999999$1000.00
09-01 13:44Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9499999999$1000.00
09-01 13:42Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9499999999$1000.00
09-01 13:39Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9499999999$1000.00
09-01 13:38Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1499999997$400.00
09-01 13:33Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1499999989$100.00
08-31 23:08Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.958$5.0k
08-31 23:05Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.92$5.0k
08-31 22:50Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9499999999$4.0k
08-31 22:47Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?BUY0.91$2.0k
08-31 22:47Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?BUY0.91$2.0k