PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD586C0fC60A6e409897d1ee60ccDa0B56A9787cF-1757771330745

0xd586c0fc60a6e409897d1ee60ccda0b56a9787cf

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$70.4k
Markets traded
292
Open portfolio
$43.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded292
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.2900.235$32.34−$7.57
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? · Yes0.2800.175$8.75−$5.25
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No0.0900.065$2.60−$1.00
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027? · No0.5650.000$0.00−$62.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29? · No0.0140.000$0.00−$1.44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29? · Yes0.4690.000$0.00−$42.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 07:18Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?BUY0.09$0.90
10-16 07:18Papertrade FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.29$39.91
10-01 08:34Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?BUY0.54$10.80
10-01 08:30Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?BUY0.57$51.30
09-30 12:51Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 30?BUY0.3887435897$15.16
09-30 08:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 30?BUY0.18$18.00
09-30 06:35US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?BUY0.929$9.29
09-30 05:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.55$114.58
09-29 14:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?BUY0.469$46.90
09-29 11:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?SELL0.52$5.20
09-29 09:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 29?BUY0.49$49.00
09-29 04:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29?SELL0.099$39.60
09-28 18:16Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29?BUY0.05$20.00
09-28 14:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?BUY0.83$352.08
09-28 04:31Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in September?SELL0.4555890909$100.23