josephcasa75
0xd5744a2da676bf324801fa0d02e435bfc495425d
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $1.29M
- Markets traded
- 1,521
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,521
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.5kat 0.768Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$2.5kat 0.679Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$2.2kat 0.686Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?
- +$1.4kat 0.563Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.910Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6709990999 | $67.09 |
| 09-28 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $98.98 |
| 09-28 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2175 | $8.70 |
| 09-28 07:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-28 06:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $30.80 |
| 09-28 06:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-28 06:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-28 06:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-28 05:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $12.80 |
| 09-28 05:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2410425 | $9.64 |
| 09-28 05:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-28 05:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 09-28 05:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 09-28 04:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-28 04:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $9.50 |