PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

josephcasa75

0xd5744a2da676bf324801fa0d02e435bfc495425d

Realised P&L
$-5.0k
Volume
$1.29M
Markets traded
1,521
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,521
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.835$835.00−$95.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.660$495.00−$172.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6900.665$399.00−$15.00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.515$257.47−$167.48
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.340$102.00−$141.00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.485$97.00−$5.00
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2700.207$41.50−$12.50
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3000.330$33.00+$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4AM ET · Up0.5500.555$0.56+$0.01
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-19? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$17.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00−$7.60
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$90.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5490.000$0.00−$58.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1AM ET · Up0.4460.000$0.00−$22.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 07:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.6709990999$67.09
09-28 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSELL0.99$98.98
09-28 07:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.2175$8.70
09-28 07:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.17$3.40
09-28 06:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSELL0.77$30.80
09-28 06:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.46$2.30
09-28 06:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.29$5.80
09-28 06:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETBUY0.21$4.20
09-28 05:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSELL0.32$12.80
09-28 05:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETBUY0.2410425$9.64
09-28 05:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.19$3.80
09-28 05:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY0.34$6.80
09-28 05:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.83$83.00
09-28 04:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETBUY0.53$5.30
09-28 04:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSELL0.38$9.50