vinnys20026
0xd56349a38ae67fdada47f4357c80075b279792d7
- Realised P&L
- $-272.11
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $17.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.48at 0.090Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament
- +$0.50at 0.420Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
- +$0.49at 0.780Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?
- +$0.49at 0.890Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?
- +$0.49at 0.810Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 22:53 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 08-22 22:52 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.928 | $0.75 |
| 08-22 22:51 | Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 00:10 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 08-15 16:34 | Will Team Vitality Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 08-15 09:27 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.00 |
| 08-15 05:07 | Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? | SELL | 0.838 | $41.90 |
| 08-15 05:06 | Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.37 | $15.87 |
| 08-14 18:39 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.166 | $8.30 |
| 08-14 18:38 | Will Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series? | SELL | 0.923 | $12.10 |
| 08-14 18:35 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.94 | $31.21 |
| 08-12 20:37 | Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.44 |
| 08-12 18:01 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 08-12 18:01 | Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 08-12 17:59 | Will Wildcard Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |