0xD561e15C9139Fcb49DcE433B0A912307c4944F02-1768414562681
0xd561e15c9139fcb49dce433b0a912307c4944f02
- Realised P&L
- $9.28
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $162.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.57at 0.816Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$97.77at 0.711Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$43.66at 0.603Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
- +$31.14at 0.213Will Solana reach $110 in October?
- +$22.20at 0.113Will Yan Diomande join Paris Saint-Germain?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:36 | Will Solana reach $110 in November? | BUY | 0.6805555546 | $70.00 |
| 11-01 18:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November? | BUY | 0.5899999974 | $60.00 |
| 10-29 11:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | SELL | 0.981 | $22.23 |
| 10-28 14:44 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 14:43 | Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.0209999998 | $1.50 |
| 10-28 03:54 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 10-26 14:27 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.071 | $0.53 |
| 10-25 23:15 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1089999991 | $3.00 |
| 10-24 15:20 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? | SELL | 0.986118008 | $41.78 |
| 10-22 16:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.6177935758 | $14.00 |
| 10-21 19:40 | Will Solana reach $110 in October? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 19:03 | Will Solana reach $140 in October? | SELL | 0.952 | $18.31 |
| 10-20 19:02 | Will Solana reach $130 in October? | BUY | 0.9464036658 | $200.00 |
| 10-20 14:38 | Will Solana reach $110 in October? | BUY | 0.2099999958 | $7.00 |
| 10-19 11:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | SELL | 0.8 | $38.09 |