0xd55a105cad698111578aa15a8ac4843738320c7f
0xd55a105cad698111578aa15a8ac4843738320c7f
- Realised P&L
- $-324.06
- Volume
- $28.4k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $111.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.020 | $34.36 | −$215.64 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.305 | $33.89 | −$16.11 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.055 | $18.33 | −$81.67 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.029 | $13.93 | −$74.07 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.180 | $10.98 | −$39.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$277.13at 0.250Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
- +$257.14at 0.280Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$113.56at 0.435Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of January 2026?
- +$33.71at 0.610US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.090Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-29 13:47 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.32 |
| 05-29 13:45 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $116.35 |
| 04-22 09:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999991 | $78.00 |
| 04-22 09:27 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $50.00 |
| 04-22 09:27 | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $50.00 |
| 03-26 08:13 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |
| 03-08 05:19 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.4982064568 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 17:13 | Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | SELL | 0.14105664 | $44.08 |
| 02-20 14:05 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $88.00 |
| 02-20 13:58 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.1125977934 | $66.23 |
| 02-19 06:34 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.035 | $97.22 |
| 02-13 03:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.06 | $85.71 |
| 01-31 08:31 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 01-30 02:34 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.025 | $42.31 |
| 01-27 08:52 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999994 | $200.00 |