tandjlover
0xd542dc6eec7a65b641d50c60a6a676c5fa95f187
- Realised P&L
- $-260.82
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.30at 0.761Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$114.03at 0.434Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?
- +$39.33at 0.591Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
- +$30.45at 0.783Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
- +$19.33at 0.230Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $87.53 |
| 08-02 18:56 | Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.454 | $34.05 |
| 08-02 18:25 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.2799999295 | $2.70 |
| 08-02 18:09 | Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.4794372996 | $25.42 |
| 08-02 15:29 | Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.3123176738 | $119.03 |
| 08-02 15:17 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? | SELL | 0.828 | $126.26 |
| 08-02 06:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4299999912 | $11.73 |
| 08-02 06:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4399999874 | $9.74 |
| 08-02 05:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $43.00 |
| 08-02 02:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5099999989 | $9.44 |
| 08-02 02:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5099999845 | $4.93 |
| 08-02 02:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.60 |
| 08-02 00:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5245142849 | $104.00 |
| 08-01 21:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.22 | $66.07 |
| 08-01 20:54 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999775 | $9.11 |