0xd542dc6eec7a65b641d50c60a6a676c5fa95f187

Realised P&L: not known
Volume: not known
Markets traded: 206
Open portfolio: $4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—: No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded206: Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position: Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions: Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%: Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position: Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
Market	Avg	Now	Value	Unrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No	0.509	0.875	$1.1k	+$464.17
Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw? · Yes	0.938	0.977	$513.61	+$20.41
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No	0.949	0.969	$390.50	+$7.81
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes	0.817	0.865	$290.42	+$15.88
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes	0.008	0.030	$240.87	+$177.77
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes	0.739	0.685	$238.34	−$18.83
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No	0.690	0.815	$217.40	+$33.31
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No	0.837	0.916	$179.47	+$15.57
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes	0.333	0.335	$152.26	+$0.99
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes	0.056	0.054	$100.23	−$3.50
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes	0.100	0.113	$86.79	+$9.80
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes	0.078	0.105	$81.45	+$20.90
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? · Yes	0.973	0.948	$81.37	−$2.18
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? · No	0.646	0.825	$69.71	+$15.13
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? · No	0.900	0.959	$65.96	+$4.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

+$481.13at 0.447Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
+$182.28at 0.567Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+$140.94at 0.648Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
+$116.71at 0.666Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?
+$114.77at 0.770Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
Time	Market	Side	Price	Value
11-02 20:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	SELL	0.96	$47.38
11-02 18:16	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.9399999982	$10.18
11-02 18:16	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.9399999961	$4.83
11-02 18:16	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.94	$6.45
11-02 18:16	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.94	$78.48
11-02 18:16	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.94	$9.65
11-02 18:16	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.95	$3.33
11-02 18:16	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.95	$15.40
11-02 18:15	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.94	$6.02
11-02 18:15	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.9399999987	$14.75
11-02 18:15	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.95	$51.45
11-02 18:11	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.96	$10.63
11-02 18:11	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.96	$2.92
11-02 18:11	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.96	$12.67
11-02 18:10	Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?	BUY	0.96	$11.46