PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd53eF4238Bab3Af3Dc1e81F4C5640dBf42a20B73-1775149557747

0xd53ef4238bab3af3dc1e81f4c5640dbf42a20b73

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$719.4k
Markets traded
480
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded480
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · No0.6690.695$180.51+$6.79
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9660.981$150.49+$2.31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1470.123$119.55−$22.68
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4700.470$98.26+$0.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.3620.365$97.60+$0.84
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2590.180$91.80−$40.08
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · No0.9350.959$89.53+$2.24
NATO dissolves before 2027? · No0.9500.979$83.29+$2.43
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.940$75.04+$2.39
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.8200.680$71.83−$14.79
Will Elon register any party before 2027? · No0.8330.946$66.15+$7.87
GTA VI released by November 30? · Yes0.9460.966$65.71+$1.39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · No0.2820.295$59.00+$2.52
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1500.105$57.13−$24.49
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6800.635$50.56−$3.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 06:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.3599999932$12.72
10-30 21:28Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.2299999996$10.73
10-30 21:28Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999983$32.48
10-30 21:28US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.4611844639$43.10
10-30 10:08Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999824$21.66
10-30 10:08US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.482157557$21.79
10-30 00:432026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6799999882$9.20
10-30 00:43US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.46$8.05
10-29 19:01Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.6699999994$120.81
10-29 17:54GTA VI released by November 30?BUY0.9455134246$64.32
10-29 17:51Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1140450995$35.71
10-29 17:51Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.6662225141$52.91
10-29 17:51Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.6699999974$18.02
10-29 17:51US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.5299999887$18.25
10-29 17:51NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0138303851$9.51