0xd53eF4238Bab3Af3Dc1e81F4C5640dBf42a20B73-1775149557747
0xd53ef4238bab3af3dc1e81f4c5640dbf42a20b73
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $688.0k
- Markets traded
- 438
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded438
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.385Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$472.14at 0.096Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$449.58at 0.143MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$408.86at 0.728Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
- +$388.58at 0.470Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.3699999996 | $58.40 |
| 09-17 15:34 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $63.16 |
| 09-15 14:55 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999748 | $15.06 |
| 09-15 14:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.51 |
| 09-15 14:54 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $30.55 |
| 09-15 12:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.0899999996 | $17.38 |
| 09-15 12:55 | Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $17.55 |
| 09-15 11:25 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999901 | $24.09 |
| 09-15 11:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999988 | $70.09 |
| 09-15 11:25 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.8499999912 | $9.63 |
| 09-15 11:24 | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.59 |
| 09-15 11:24 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $113.51 |
| 09-14 23:36 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.95 |
| 09-14 22:15 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.8499999977 | $18.26 |
| 09-14 22:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $12.49 |