0xd53eF4238Bab3Af3Dc1e81F4C5640dBf42a20B73-1775149557747
0xd53ef4238bab3af3dc1e81f4c5640dbf42a20b73
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $719.4k
- Markets traded
- 480
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded480
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.385Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$558.88at 0.757Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$472.14at 0.096Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$449.58at 0.143MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$388.58at 0.470Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.3599999932 | $12.72 |
| 10-30 21:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999996 | $10.73 |
| 10-30 21:28 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999983 | $32.48 |
| 10-30 21:28 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.4611844639 | $43.10 |
| 10-30 10:08 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999824 | $21.66 |
| 10-30 10:08 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.482157557 | $21.79 |
| 10-30 00:43 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6799999882 | $9.20 |
| 10-30 00:43 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.46 | $8.05 |
| 10-29 19:01 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.6699999994 | $120.81 |
| 10-29 17:54 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.9455134246 | $64.32 |
| 10-29 17:51 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1140450995 | $35.71 |
| 10-29 17:51 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.6662225141 | $52.91 |
| 10-29 17:51 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999974 | $18.02 |
| 10-29 17:51 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.5299999887 | $18.25 |
| 10-29 17:51 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0138303851 | $9.51 |