davidino01
0xd536575e44b12efdea7c7d4281ac13c225661e13
- Realised P&L
- $280.90
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $869.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? · Yes | 0.874 | 0.875 | $551.88 | +$0.63 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.513 | 0.512 | $99.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.987 | $99.88 | +$27.00 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.523 | 0.521 | $99.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.100 | $18.01 | −$1.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$232.20at 0.387Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$19.78at 0.582Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 18:15 | Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.1110656408 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 17:47 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5129999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 17:43 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5230740518 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 20:25 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10? | SELL | 0.96 | $50.52 |
| 09-10 19:01 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $30.00 |
| 09-07 08:09 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.8599999862 | $20.00 |
| 09-02 07:26 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 09-02 07:19 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.82 | $32.80 |
| 09-02 07:14 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.71 | $0.89 |
| 08-25 19:31 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.8132231282 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 09:51 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.8881588695 | $420.00 |
| 03-23 14:27 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | SELL | 0.7265 | $50.86 |
| 03-23 13:40 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | SELL | 0.4938705682 | $63.80 |
| 03-23 00:01 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | BUY | 0.3870551346 | $200.00 |