vivaelbetis
0xd532ad21d4794513e3d36d2d290a53ae96e5589d
- Realised P&L
- $-64.79
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $126.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.34at 0.097Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins
- +$9.00at 0.100US military action against Iran by Sunday?
- +$6.83at 0.706Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$6.57at 0.290Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?
- +$6.50at 0.300Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:35 | Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | BUY | 0.72 | $11.52 |
| 10-31 22:29 | Michael Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $3.44 |
| 10-31 20:47 | Rico Dowdle: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.81 | $8.91 |
| 10-31 18:34 | Efton Chism III: Receptions O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $12.32 |
| 10-31 00:54 | Cade Otton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $13.16 |
| 10-31 00:33 | Cade Otton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $13.16 |
| 10-30 16:16 | Efton Chism III: Receptions O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $11.96 |
| 10-30 11:27 | Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award? | BUY | 0.599 | $11.98 |
| 10-30 11:00 | Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins | SELL | 0.5754317111 | $7.33 |
| 10-30 10:01 | Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins | SELL | 0.7 | $9.28 |
| 10-30 08:21 | Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins | BUY | 0.0929999972 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 08:14 | Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins | BUY | 0.0929999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 10:38 | Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins | BUY | 0.965 | $15.44 |
| 10-29 09:34 | Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville Dolphins | BUY | 0.965 | $9.65 |
| 10-26 23:37 | Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.17 |