PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd52e30d596c4108ad4b64dfdec767c97da53424c

0xd52e30d596c4108ad4b64dfdec767c97da53424c

Realised P&L
$8.35
Volume
$675.00
Markets traded
236
Open portfolio
$1.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded236
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16? · Up0.7600.650$0.86−$0.14
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.4990.219$0.44−$0.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 08:27S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-16 00:25Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.498999755$1.00
10-15 15:51Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-15 15:49S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-15 07:48SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-14 23:34Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.726999904$1.00
10-14 02:39Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-13 18:39Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?BUY0.6199997024$1.00
10-13 01:24Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-10 04:47Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-09 19:07Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-09 19:06Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-09 11:03Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.2019999612$1.00
10-09 03:03Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-08 19:03Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.6799998912$1.00