PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd52c519046e9dDB74A47D1C53ADFA5F75BB6107a-1767401314273

0xd52c519046e9ddb74a47d1c53adfa5f75bb6107a

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$39.6k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? · No0.8581.000$3.7k+$531.89
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? · No0.8261.000$565.02+$98.26
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · No0.9200.780$511.29$91.74
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? · No0.5851.000$441.79+$183.26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8250.945$378.00+$48.00
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9090.964$299.65+$16.95
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? · No0.5630.835$50.08+$16.29
US x China Military clash before 2027? · No0.9000.956$47.80+$2.80
Another Elon baby by June 30? · No0.7601.000$29.99+$7.20
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.835$23.38+$2.94
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · Yes0.1100.103$4.59$0.29
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? · No0.7500.946$3.78+$0.78
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$39.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$36.41
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first? · Leadership Change0.5150.000$0.00$107.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 18:51Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.909$0.41
05-08 18:51Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.909$10.00
05-08 16:59Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?BUY0.28$13.16
05-08 16:57Nothing Ever Happens: MayBUY0.65$68.25
05-06 21:59Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.81$162.00
05-01 08:36Nothing Ever Happens: MayBUY0.36$72.00
04-16 20:33Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?BUY0.93$134.85
04-09 20:53US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.64$45.25
04-03 17:32US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.16$16.00
04-03 15:36US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.16$16.00
04-03 15:14US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.2$2.60
04-03 14:34US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.19$3.80
04-03 11:09Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.77$77.00
04-02 19:00Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?BUY0.88$31.68
04-02 18:59US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.999$54.65