0xd52c519046e9dDB74A47D1C53ADFA5F75BB6107a-1767401314273
0xd52c519046e9ddb74a47d1c53adfa5f75bb6107a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $39.6k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$253.10at 0.914José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
- +$194.70at 0.513Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?
- +$165.30at 0.553US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$117.20at 0.824U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
- +$73.85at 0.638Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 18:51 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.909 | $0.41 |
| 05-08 18:51 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.909 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 16:59 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.28 | $13.16 |
| 05-08 16:57 | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BUY | 0.65 | $68.25 |
| 05-06 21:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $162.00 |
| 05-01 08:36 | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BUY | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 04-16 20:33 | Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $134.85 |
| 04-09 20:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $45.25 |
| 04-03 17:32 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 04-03 15:36 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 04-03 15:14 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.60 |
| 04-03 14:34 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 04-03 11:09 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 04-02 19:00 | Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $31.68 |
| 04-02 18:59 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $54.65 |