lightwarriormillennial
0xd51f127b2c843272ad00647f7583504f65dfbcbc
- Realised P&L
- $-8.11
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $12.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.295 | $5.90 | +$2.90 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · No | 0.070 | 0.100 | $4.00 | +$1.20 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026? · No | 0.190 | 0.100 | $2.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.215 | $0.32 | −$0.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Up | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.84 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.84 |
| 09-24 14:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999705 | $1.90 |
| 09-23 17:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |