ergvdfd
0xd51e71f285df4a2f2ad2b8231f5097bd0e061ce6
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $27.8k
- Markets traded
- 234
- Open portfolio
- $107.16
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded234
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.635 | 0.745 | $78.61 | +$11.61 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.493 | 0.951 | $13.50 | +$6.50 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.610 | 0.360 | $9.36 | −$6.50 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.580 | $5.69 | +$0.69 |
| Red Wings vs. Senators · Senators | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$292.68 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.51 |
| New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · New York Yankees | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.80 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.04 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.45 |
| Rockets vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.55 |
| Flames vs. Ducks · Flames | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Buccaneers vs. Bengals · Buccaneers | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.15 |
| Jets vs. Sharks · Jets | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.16 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds · Baltimore Orioles | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$316.80at 0.560Senators vs. Flyers
- +$308.86at 0.430Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves
- +$297.66at 0.620Predators vs. Capitals
- +$294.00at 0.510Grizzlies vs. Pacers
- +$294.00at 0.510Blue Jackets vs. Bruins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 06:45 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.61 | $15.86 |
| 09-24 08:19 | New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.46 | $7.36 |
| 09-23 10:25 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.44 | $7.92 |
| 09-23 10:16 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.54 | $12.96 |
| 09-22 10:32 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.58 | $10.44 |
| 09-21 06:48 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 09-19 07:17 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.529999964 | $6.62 |
| 09-19 07:14 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.46 | $6.90 |
| 09-18 07:03 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 07:14 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.392 | $9.80 |
| 09-15 08:26 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.36 | $9.00 |
| 09-14 06:55 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 09-14 06:54 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 10:10 | Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.6 | $7.80 |
| 09-12 05:18 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.48 | $10.56 |