PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ergvdfd

0xd51e71f285df4a2f2ad2b8231f5097bd0e061ce6

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$27.8k
Markets traded
234
Open portfolio
$107.16

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded234
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6350.745$78.61+$11.61
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.4930.951$13.50+$6.50
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies0.6100.360$9.36−$6.50
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5100.580$5.69+$0.69
Red Wings vs. Senators · Senators0.6000.000$0.00−$292.68
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers0.4700.000$0.00−$15.51
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · New York Yankees0.6000.000$0.00−$10.80
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays0.4600.000$0.00−$11.04
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles0.4500.000$0.00−$9.45
Rockets vs. Thunder · Thunder0.5600.000$0.00−$99.55
Flames vs. Ducks · Flames0.4000.000$0.00−$200.00
Buccaneers vs. Bengals · Buccaneers0.3600.000$0.00−$5.40
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins0.4500.000$0.00−$21.15
Jets vs. Sharks · Jets0.5300.000$0.00−$150.16
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds · Baltimore Orioles0.5100.000$0.00−$19.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 06:45Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.61$15.86
09-24 08:19New York Mets vs. Texas RangersBUY0.46$7.36
09-23 10:25Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.44$7.92
09-23 10:16Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.54$12.96
09-22 10:32St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.58$10.44
09-21 06:48Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.5$7.50
09-19 07:17Atlanta Braves vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.529999964$6.62
09-19 07:14Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.46$6.90
09-18 07:03Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.5699999886$5.00
09-17 07:14San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.392$9.80
09-15 08:26Packers vs. JetsBUY0.36$9.00
09-14 06:55New York Yankees vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.45$6.75
09-14 06:54Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.5099999776$5.00
09-13 10:10Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.6$7.80
09-12 05:18Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.48$10.56