PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Macaquinhus

0xd51dbb6d86a9cc478b460102da71861986a81578

Realised P&L
$945.81
Volume
$135.6k
Markets traded
650
Open portfolio
$308.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded650
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4600.435$87.00$5.00
Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by September 30? · No0.9310.985$73.09+$4.03
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · No0.5830.830$50.46+$15.03
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? · No0.7570.935$26.93+$5.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.1000.160$16.00+$6.00
Will Ryan Gosling be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · No0.5000.946$11.35+$5.35
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.635$10.95$1.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September? · No0.9931.000$9.99+$0.07
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6300.665$7.98+$0.42
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0140.019$4.54+$1.19
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? · No0.4500.500$3.83+$0.38
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 3.25T in 2026? · No0.7700.610$2.20$0.58
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · No0.7900.905$1.89+$0.24
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0060.004$1.75$1.22
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0030.001$0.20$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:07Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by September 30?BUY0.9306738544$69.06
09-13 17:14Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.7199999914$16.82
09-12 23:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?BUY0.993$9.93
09-09 08:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.93$9.30
09-09 08:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.9266666667$13.90
09-07 05:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.1$10.00
09-04 16:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?SELL0.07$14.53
09-04 16:12Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?SELL0.5$20.00
09-04 16:10Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?BUY0.53$21.19
09-03 05:58Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?SELL0.528749$52.87
09-02 17:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.64$64.00
09-01 11:09Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by August 31?SELL0.999$50.62
09-01 11:08Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?BUY0.962$19.24
09-01 11:06Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?BUY0.98$19.60
08-31 16:21Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by August 31?BUY0.9960521463$65.90