Macaquinhus
0xd51dbb6d86a9cc478b460102da71861986a81578
- Realised P&L
- $945.81
- Volume
- $135.6k
- Markets traded
- 650
- Open portfolio
- $308.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded650
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.71at 0.266WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?
- +$169.61at 0.726Will gas hit (High) $4.15 by April 30?
- +$159.87at 0.040Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$124.63at 0.210Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?
- +$109.22at 0.366Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:07 | Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by September 30? | BUY | 0.9306738544 | $69.06 |
| 09-13 17:14 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.7199999914 | $16.82 |
| 09-12 23:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 09-09 08:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-09 08:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.9266666667 | $13.90 |
| 09-07 05:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 16:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.07 | $14.53 |
| 09-04 16:12 | Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 16:10 | Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $21.19 |
| 09-03 05:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | SELL | 0.528749 | $52.87 |
| 09-02 17:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 09-01 11:09 | Will gas hit $3.00 (Low) by August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.62 |
| 09-01 11:08 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City? | BUY | 0.962 | $19.24 |
| 09-01 11:06 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 08-31 16:21 | Will gas hit $3.90 (Low) by August 31? | BUY | 0.9960521463 | $65.90 |