PolyBot

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Traders

HoneybeeAlliance

0xd51abd921d2ea76b3ad5fe6959e38c0e75cb17c8

Realised P&L
$-56.3k
Volume
$2.84M
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$13.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1570.080$3.6k$3.5k
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · Yes0.1370.079$2.8k$2.0k
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1120.070$2.5k$1.5k
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · Yes0.1550.068$1.6k$2.1k
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No0.0470.024$1.2k$1.2k
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.0960.029$1.2k$2.8k
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.2740.185$499.54$239.22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.255$1.06+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 14:00Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.0481343317$249.30
08-18 04:36Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.0425660638$306.73
08-13 07:48Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.0469738924$19.00
08-13 07:48Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.0444514676$21.72
08-12 05:52Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.0456692733$242.43
08-08 23:42Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.0429999901$4.00
08-07 02:53Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.0449602138$69.01
08-07 02:45Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?BUY0.1888219867$526.03
08-07 02:44Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?BUY0.1642678329$269.41
08-07 02:44Yoon out of custody before 2027?SELL0.0657531871$999.73
08-06 13:36NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-06 07:24Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.0596590529$258.00
08-06 07:23Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.0515981866$245.83
08-06 07:23Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.0418421928$471.42
08-05 05:01Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.0370000005$3.00