HoneybeeAlliance
0xd51abd921d2ea76b3ad5fe6959e38c0e75cb17c8
- Realised P&L
- $-55.6k
- Volume
- $3.09M
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.055 | $2.5k | −$4.7k |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No | 0.024 | 0.005 | $1.2k | −$4.1k |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.190 | $1.0k | −$410.09 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.019 | $258.79 | −$1.0k |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.125 | $0.52 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-60.00at 0.109South Korean President impeached in 2024?
- +$-131.29at 0.031Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?
- +$-196.59at 0.069Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?
- +$-286.15at 0.011Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-449.84at 0.114Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 02:01 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.01 | $11.00 |
| 10-31 02:01 | Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.0111459719 | $12.06 |
| 10-31 01:51 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.011 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 01:50 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.011 | $31.00 |
| 10-31 01:50 | Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.0121471176 | $23.75 |
| 10-31 01:50 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.01 | $94.06 |
| 10-31 01:50 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0099799403 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 01:49 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | SELL | 0.0035921678 | $59.27 |
| 10-31 01:48 | Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.0147715716 | $35.78 |
| 10-31 01:48 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | SELL | 0.0094360483 | $127.11 |
| 10-30 22:25 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 22:25 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.007 | $23.00 |
| 10-30 22:24 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.12 |
| 10-30 22:23 | Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.0157702369 | $32.53 |
| 10-30 08:16 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.012987013 | $20.00 |