HoneybeeAlliance
0xd51abd921d2ea76b3ad5fe6959e38c0e75cb17c8
- Realised P&L
- $-56.3k
- Volume
- $2.84M
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $13.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.080 | $3.6k | −$3.5k |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.079 | $2.8k | −$2.0k |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.070 | $2.5k | −$1.5k |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.068 | $1.6k | −$2.1k |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No | 0.047 | 0.024 | $1.2k | −$1.2k |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.029 | $1.2k | −$2.8k |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes | 0.274 | 0.185 | $499.54 | −$239.22 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.255 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-60.00at 0.109South Korean President impeached in 2024?
- +$-196.59at 0.069Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?
- +$-286.15at 0.011Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$-449.84at 0.114Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- +$-562.54at 0.184SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 14:00 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0481343317 | $249.30 |
| 08-18 04:36 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0425660638 | $306.73 |
| 08-13 07:48 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0469738924 | $19.00 |
| 08-13 07:48 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0444514676 | $21.72 |
| 08-12 05:52 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0456692733 | $242.43 |
| 08-08 23:42 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0429999901 | $4.00 |
| 08-07 02:53 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0449602138 | $69.01 |
| 08-07 02:45 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.1888219867 | $526.03 |
| 08-07 02:44 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.1642678329 | $269.41 |
| 08-07 02:44 | Yoon out of custody before 2027? | SELL | 0.0657531871 | $999.73 |
| 08-06 13:36 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 07:24 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0596590529 | $258.00 |
| 08-06 07:23 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0515981866 | $245.83 |
| 08-06 07:23 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0418421928 | $471.42 |
| 08-05 05:01 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.0370000005 | $3.00 |